ZKH Group Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ZKH Stock | 3.44 0.08 2.38% |
ZKH Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of ZKH Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of ZKH Group's share price is at 53. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ZKH Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.38 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.57) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4402 | Wall Street Target Price 4.5183 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.19 |
Using ZKH Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ZKH Group Limited from the perspective of ZKH Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ZKH Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53. ZKH Group after-hype prediction price | USD 3.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZKH Group to cross-verify your projections. ZKH Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ZKH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ZKH using various technical indicators. When you analyze ZKH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ZKH Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ZKH Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 3.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ZKH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ZKH Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ZKH Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ZKH Group | ZKH Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ZKH Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ZKH Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ZKH Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.17 and 6.71, respectively. We have considered ZKH Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ZKH Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ZKH Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.9998 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0114 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0598 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0179 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.53 |
Predictive Modules for ZKH Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZKH Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ZKH Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ZKH Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ZKH Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ZKH Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ZKH Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ZKH Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ZKH Group's historical news coverage. ZKH Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.25 and 6.77, respectively. We have considered ZKH Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ZKH Group is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ZKH Group Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
ZKH Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ZKH Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ZKH Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ZKH Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 3.27 | 0.16 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.44 | 3.51 | 4.46 |
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ZKH Group Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February ZKH Group Limited is traded for 3.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. ZKH is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 4.46%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on ZKH Group is about 5637.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.42. ZKH Group Limited has about 1.42 B in cash with 229.07 M of positive cash flow from operations. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZKH Group to cross-verify your projections.ZKH Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ZKH Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ZKH Group's future price movements. Getting to know how ZKH Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ZKH Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LE | Lands End | (0.16) | 11 per month | 3.41 | 0.04 | 5.94 | (6.46) | 41.83 | |
| BWMX | Betterware de Mxico | 0.09 | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.15 | 3.90 | (2.45) | 16.38 | |
| ARKO | Arko Corp | (0.08) | 10 per month | 2.67 | 0.10 | 4.59 | (2.93) | 15.13 | |
| PACK | Ranpak Holdings Corp | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.08 | (4.59) | 21.26 | |
| INVZ | Innoviz Technologies | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.14 | (7.48) | 34.74 | |
| VENU | Venu Holding | 0.57 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.16 | (11.37) | 56.39 | |
| HZO | MarineMax | 0.01 | 11 per month | 3.08 | 0.01 | 7.38 | (4.52) | 16.81 | |
| HNST | Honest Company | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.62 | (3.89) | 29.98 | |
| MLR | Miller Industries | (0.71) | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.01 | 2.66 | (2.49) | 7.96 | |
| JOUT | Johnson Outdoors | (0.25) | 10 per month | 1.59 | 0.03 | 4.30 | (2.54) | 8.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for ZKH Group
For every potential investor in ZKH, whether a beginner or expert, ZKH Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ZKH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ZKH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ZKH Group's price trends.ZKH Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ZKH Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ZKH Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZKH Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ZKH Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZKH Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZKH Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZKH Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ZKH Group Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ZKH Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of ZKH Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZKH Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zkh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.31 | |||
| Variance | 10.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ZKH Group
The number of cover stories for ZKH Group depends on current market conditions and ZKH Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ZKH Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ZKH Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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ZKH Group Short Properties
ZKH Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when ZKH Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ZKH Group Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ZKH Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ZKH Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 163.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZKH Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is there potential for Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components market expansion? Will ZKH introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZKH Group. Anticipated expansion of ZKH directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about ZKH Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.20) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.021 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate ZKH Group Limited using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating ZKH Group's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause ZKH Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZKH Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZKH Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, ZKH Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.