ZKB Platinum Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

ZPLA Etf  CHF 248.35  3.50  1.43%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ZKB Platinum ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 253.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 219.96. ZKB Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for ZKB Platinum is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ZKB Platinum ETF value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ZKB Platinum Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ZKB Platinum ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 253.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.61, mean absolute percentage error of 19.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 219.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ZKB Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ZKB Platinum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ZKB Platinum Etf Forecast Pattern

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ZKB Platinum Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ZKB Platinum's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ZKB Platinum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 252.27 and 255.50, respectively. We have considered ZKB Platinum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
248.35
252.27
Downside
253.89
Expected Value
255.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ZKB Platinum etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ZKB Platinum etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.104
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.6059
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0144
SAESum of the absolute errors219.9603
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ZKB Platinum ETF. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ZKB Platinum. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ZKB Platinum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZKB Platinum ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
246.72248.35249.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
227.48229.11273.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
243.02246.65250.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ZKB Platinum

For every potential investor in ZKB, whether a beginner or expert, ZKB Platinum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ZKB Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ZKB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ZKB Platinum's price trends.

ZKB Platinum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ZKB Platinum etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ZKB Platinum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZKB Platinum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ZKB Platinum ETF Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ZKB Platinum's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ZKB Platinum's current price.

ZKB Platinum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZKB Platinum etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZKB Platinum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZKB Platinum etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ZKB Platinum ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ZKB Platinum Risk Indicators

The analysis of ZKB Platinum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZKB Platinum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zkb etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ZKB Etf

ZKB Platinum financial ratios help investors to determine whether ZKB Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ZKB with respect to the benefits of owning ZKB Platinum security.