ZKB Platinum Etf Forward View - Polynomial Regression

ZPLA Etf  CHF 500.30  7.20  1.42%   
ZKB Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of ZKB Platinum's share price is below 20 . This usually means that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ZKB Platinum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ZKB Platinum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ZKB Platinum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ZKB Platinum ETF, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ZKB Platinum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ZKB Platinum ETF from the perspective of ZKB Platinum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ZKB Platinum ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 500.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,172.

ZKB Platinum after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 494.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZKB Platinum to cross-verify your projections.

ZKB Platinum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ZKB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ZKB using various technical indicators. When you analyze ZKB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
ZKB Platinum polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for ZKB Platinum ETF as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

ZKB Platinum Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ZKB Platinum ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 500.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 18.90, mean absolute percentage error of 575.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,172.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ZKB Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ZKB Platinum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ZKB Platinum Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest ZKB Platinum  ZKB Platinum Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

ZKB Platinum Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ZKB Platinum's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ZKB Platinum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 496.77 and 504.24, respectively. We have considered ZKB Platinum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
500.30
496.77
Downside
500.51
Expected Value
504.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ZKB Platinum etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ZKB Platinum etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.3045
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation18.8968
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0411
SAESum of the absolute errors1171.6037
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the ZKB Platinum historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for ZKB Platinum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZKB Platinum ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
490.61494.35550.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
495.15498.89502.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
309.02475.25641.49
Details

ZKB Platinum After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ZKB Platinum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ZKB Platinum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ZKB Platinum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ZKB Platinum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ZKB Platinum's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ZKB Platinum's historical news coverage. ZKB Platinum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 490.61 and 550.33, respectively. We have considered ZKB Platinum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
500.30
490.61
Downside
494.35
After-hype Price
550.33
Upside
ZKB Platinum is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ZKB Platinum ETF is based on 3 months time horizon.

ZKB Platinum Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ZKB Platinum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ZKB Platinum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ZKB Platinum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.62 
3.74
  5.95 
  0.66 
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
500.30
494.35
1.19 
38.96  
Notes

ZKB Platinum Hype Timeline

ZKB Platinum ETF is at this time traded for 500.30on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -5.95, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.66. ZKB is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 494.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 38.96%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.62%. The volatility of related hype on ZKB Platinum is about 350.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 499.64. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ZKB Platinum to cross-verify your projections.

ZKB Platinum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ZKB Platinum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ZKB Platinum's future price movements. Getting to know how ZKB Platinum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ZKB Platinum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
13910159ZKB GOLD ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
13910160ZKB GOLDETF AAH 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
10449330ZKB GOLDETF AAH 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
10449329ZKB GOLD ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ZSILHEZKB Silver ETF 0.00 0 per month 4.51  0.20  6.70 (4.25) 35.07 
ZGLDHEZKB Gold ETF 0.00 0 per month 1.45  0.16  2.78 (1.64) 10.15 
ZGLDEUZKB Gold ETF 0.00 0 per month 1.23  0.16  2.40 (1.12) 9.45 
ZPLAZKB Platinum ETF(9.60)1 per month 3.91  0.13  5.17 (4.88) 22.66 
10332676ZKB GOLDETF AAH 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for ZKB Platinum

For every potential investor in ZKB, whether a beginner or expert, ZKB Platinum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ZKB Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ZKB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ZKB Platinum's price trends.

ZKB Platinum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ZKB Platinum etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ZKB Platinum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZKB Platinum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ZKB Platinum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ZKB Platinum etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ZKB Platinum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ZKB Platinum etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ZKB Platinum ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ZKB Platinum Risk Indicators

The analysis of ZKB Platinum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ZKB Platinum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zkb etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ZKB Platinum

The number of cover stories for ZKB Platinum depends on current market conditions and ZKB Platinum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ZKB Platinum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ZKB Platinum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in ZKB Etf

ZKB Platinum financial ratios help investors to determine whether ZKB Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ZKB with respect to the benefits of owning ZKB Platinum security.