Zur Shamir Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ZUR Stock  ILS 718.70  11.70  1.65%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Zur Shamir Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 712.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 616.90. Zur Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zur Shamir stock prices and determine the direction of Zur Shamir Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zur Shamir's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Zur Shamir Holdings is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Zur Shamir 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Zur Shamir Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 712.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.82, mean absolute percentage error of 190.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 616.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zur Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zur Shamir's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zur Shamir Stock Forecast Pattern

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Zur Shamir Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zur Shamir's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zur Shamir's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 711.20 and 714.35, respectively. We have considered Zur Shamir's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
718.70
711.20
Downside
712.77
Expected Value
714.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zur Shamir stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zur Shamir stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0094
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -6.9448
MADMean absolute deviation10.8228
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0169
SAESum of the absolute errors616.9
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Zur Shamir. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Zur Shamir Holdings and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Zur Shamir

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zur Shamir Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
717.13718.70720.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
566.62568.19790.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
601.28664.25727.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Zur Shamir

For every potential investor in Zur, whether a beginner or expert, Zur Shamir's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zur Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zur. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zur Shamir's price trends.

Zur Shamir Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zur Shamir stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zur Shamir could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zur Shamir by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zur Shamir Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zur Shamir's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zur Shamir's current price.

Zur Shamir Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zur Shamir stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zur Shamir shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zur Shamir stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zur Shamir Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zur Shamir Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zur Shamir's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zur Shamir's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zur stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Zur Stock

Zur Shamir financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zur Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zur with respect to the benefits of owning Zur Shamir security.