Zymeworks Common Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ZYME Stock  USD 14.09  0.33  2.29%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zymeworks Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 12.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.80. Zymeworks Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zymeworks Common stock prices and determine the direction of Zymeworks Common Stock's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zymeworks Common's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.18, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 17.08. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 117.5 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 42.3 M.

Zymeworks Common Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Zymeworks Common's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2015-12-31
Previous Quarter
71 M
Current Value
122.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
107.1 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Zymeworks Common is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Zymeworks Common Stock value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Zymeworks Common Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zymeworks Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 12.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zymeworks Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zymeworks Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zymeworks Common Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zymeworks CommonZymeworks Common Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Zymeworks Common Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zymeworks Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zymeworks Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.83 and 15.61, respectively. We have considered Zymeworks Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.09
12.72
Expected Value
15.61
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zymeworks Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zymeworks Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3626
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.505
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0352
SAESum of the absolute errors30.8048
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Zymeworks Common Stock. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Zymeworks Common. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Zymeworks Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zymeworks Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2014.0916.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4014.2917.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.5014.9917.49
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.7113.9715.51
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Zymeworks Common

For every potential investor in Zymeworks, whether a beginner or expert, Zymeworks Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zymeworks Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zymeworks. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zymeworks Common's price trends.

View Zymeworks Common Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zymeworks Common Stock Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zymeworks Common's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zymeworks Common's current price.

Zymeworks Common Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zymeworks Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zymeworks Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zymeworks Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zymeworks Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zymeworks Common Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zymeworks Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zymeworks Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zymeworks stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Zymeworks Common Stock is a strong investment it is important to analyze Zymeworks Common's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Zymeworks Common's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Zymeworks Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zymeworks Common to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zymeworks Common. If investors know Zymeworks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zymeworks Common listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.49)
Revenue Per Share
0.831
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Return On Equity
(0.29)
The market value of Zymeworks Common Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zymeworks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zymeworks Common's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zymeworks Common's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zymeworks Common's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zymeworks Common's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zymeworks Common's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zymeworks Common is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zymeworks Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.