Angang Steel (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.28

000898 Stock   2.28  0.01  0.44%   
Angang Steel's future price is the expected price of Angang Steel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Angang Steel Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Angang Steel Backtesting, Angang Steel Valuation, Angang Steel Correlation, Angang Steel Hype Analysis, Angang Steel Volatility, Angang Steel History as well as Angang Steel Performance.
  
Please specify Angang Steel's target price for which you would like Angang Steel odds to be computed.

Angang Steel Target Price Odds to finish over 2.28

The tendency of Angang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.28 90 days 2.28 
about 90.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Angang Steel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.88 (This Angang Steel Co probability density function shows the probability of Angang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Angang Steel has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Angang Steel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Angang Steel Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Angang Steel Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Angang Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Angang Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Angang Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.412.284.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.512.384.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.512.374.24
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.15-0.1-0.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Angang Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Angang Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Angang Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Angang Steel.

Angang Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Angang Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Angang Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Angang Steel Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Angang Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Angang Steel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Angang Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Angang Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angang Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 113.5 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.34 B.
About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Angang Steel Co. Issues Profit Warning for 2024 - TipRanks

Angang Steel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Angang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Angang Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Angang Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.4 B

Angang Steel Technical Analysis

Angang Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Angang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Angang Steel Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Angang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Angang Steel Predictive Forecast Models

Angang Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Angang Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Angang Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Angang Steel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Angang Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Angang Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angang Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 113.5 B. Net Loss for the year was (3.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.34 B.
About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Angang Steel Co. Issues Profit Warning for 2024 - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in Angang Stock

Angang Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Angang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Angang with respect to the benefits of owning Angang Steel security.