Arrow Home (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.10

001322 Stock   8.10  0.31  3.69%   
Arrow Home's future price is the expected price of Arrow Home instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Arrow Home Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Arrow Home Backtesting, Arrow Home Valuation, Arrow Home Correlation, Arrow Home Hype Analysis, Arrow Home Volatility, Arrow Home History as well as Arrow Home Performance.
  
Please specify Arrow Home's target price for which you would like Arrow Home odds to be computed.

Arrow Home Target Price Odds to finish over 8.10

The tendency of Arrow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.10 90 days 8.10 
about 42.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrow Home to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.07 (This Arrow Home Group probability density function shows the probability of Arrow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arrow Home Group has a beta of -0.67. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Arrow Home are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Arrow Home Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Arrow Home Group has an alpha of 0.3686, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arrow Home Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arrow Home

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arrow Home Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.037.9610.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.756.689.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.188.1111.04
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.070.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arrow Home. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arrow Home's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arrow Home's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arrow Home Group.

Arrow Home Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arrow Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arrow Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arrow Home Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arrow Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.67
σ
Overall volatility
0.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Arrow Home Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arrow Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arrow Home Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Adani Group stocks plummet as US indictment shakes Indian markets - BusinessLine

Arrow Home Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arrow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arrow Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arrow Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding970.1 M

Arrow Home Technical Analysis

Arrow Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arrow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arrow Home Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arrow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Arrow Home Predictive Forecast Models

Arrow Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arrow Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arrow Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Arrow Home Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arrow Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arrow Home Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Adani Group stocks plummet as US indictment shakes Indian markets - BusinessLine

Other Information on Investing in Arrow Stock

Arrow Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arrow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arrow with respect to the benefits of owning Arrow Home security.