Arrow Home (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.22
| 001322 Stock | 8.42 0.26 3.19% |
Arrow |
Arrow Home Target Price Odds to finish over 11.22
The tendency of Arrow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.22 or more in 90 days |
| 8.42 | 90 days | 11.22 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arrow Home to move over 11.22 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Arrow Home Group probability density function shows the probability of Arrow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arrow Home Group price to stay between its current price of 8.42 and 11.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arrow Home Group has a beta of -0.64. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Arrow Home are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Arrow Home Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Arrow Home Group has an alpha of 0.4116, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Arrow Home Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arrow Home
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arrow Home Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arrow Home Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arrow Home is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arrow Home's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arrow Home Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arrow Home within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Arrow Home Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arrow Home for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arrow Home Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arrow Electronics Partners with Habitat for Humanity on Smart Home Innovation Project ARW Stock News - StockTitan |
Arrow Home Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arrow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arrow Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arrow Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 970.1 M |
Arrow Home Technical Analysis
Arrow Home's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arrow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arrow Home Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arrow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arrow Home Predictive Forecast Models
Arrow Home's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arrow Home's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arrow Home's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arrow Home Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arrow Home for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arrow Home Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arrow Electronics Partners with Habitat for Humanity on Smart Home Innovation Project ARW Stock News - StockTitan |
Other Information on Investing in Arrow Stock
Arrow Home financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arrow Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arrow with respect to the benefits of owning Arrow Home security.