Kuang Chi (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.29
| 002625 Stock | 38.46 1.59 3.97% |
Kuang |
Kuang Chi Target Price Odds to finish below 6.29
The tendency of Kuang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 6.29 or more in 90 days |
| 38.46 | 90 days | 6.29 | roughly 2.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kuang Chi to drop to 6.29 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.39 (This Kuang Chi Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Kuang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kuang Chi Technologies price to stay between 6.29 and its current price of 38.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kuang Chi has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kuang Chi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kuang Chi Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Kuang Chi Technologies has an alpha of 1.4275, implying that it can generate a 1.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kuang Chi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kuang Chi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kuang Chi Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kuang Chi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kuang Chi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kuang Chi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kuang Chi Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kuang Chi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.28 |
Kuang Chi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kuang Chi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kuang Chi Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kuang Chi is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Kuang Chi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Kuang Chi is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Kuang Chi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Europe Might Need To Make Its 380 Billion Defense Budget Much, Much Bigger - Finimize |
Kuang Chi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kuang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kuang Chi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kuang Chi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B |
Kuang Chi Technical Analysis
Kuang Chi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kuang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kuang Chi Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kuang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kuang Chi Predictive Forecast Models
Kuang Chi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kuang Chi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kuang Chi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kuang Chi Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kuang Chi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kuang Chi Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kuang Chi is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Kuang Chi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Kuang Chi is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Kuang Chi generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Europe Might Need To Make Its 380 Billion Defense Budget Much, Much Bigger - Finimize |
Other Information on Investing in Kuang Stock
Kuang Chi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kuang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kuang with respect to the benefits of owning Kuang Chi security.