Heungkuk Metaltech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4780.00

010240 Stock  KRW 4,780  100.00  2.14%   
Heungkuk Metaltech's future price is the expected price of Heungkuk Metaltech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Heungkuk Metaltech Backtesting, Heungkuk Metaltech Valuation, Heungkuk Metaltech Correlation, Heungkuk Metaltech Hype Analysis, Heungkuk Metaltech Volatility, Heungkuk Metaltech History as well as Heungkuk Metaltech Performance.
  
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Heungkuk Metaltech Target Price Odds to finish over 4780.00

The tendency of Heungkuk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,780 90 days 4,780 
about 78.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Heungkuk Metaltech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.19 (This Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Heungkuk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Heungkuk Metaltech has a beta of 0.37. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Heungkuk Metaltech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Heungkuk Metaltech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Heungkuk Metaltech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,7794,7804,781
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,3024,8024,804
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,8174,8184,819
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,5904,8125,034
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Heungkuk Metaltech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Heungkuk Metaltech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Heungkuk Metaltech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd.

Heungkuk Metaltech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Heungkuk Metaltech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Heungkuk Metaltech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Heungkuk Metaltech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
131.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Heungkuk Metaltech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Heungkuk Metaltech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Heungkuk Metaltech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Heungkuk Metaltech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Heungkuk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Heungkuk Metaltech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Heungkuk Metaltech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.5 M
Dividends Paid2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments14.3 B
Shares Float5.3 M

Heungkuk Metaltech Technical Analysis

Heungkuk Metaltech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Heungkuk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Heungkuk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Heungkuk Metaltech Predictive Forecast Models

Heungkuk Metaltech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Heungkuk Metaltech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Heungkuk Metaltech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Heungkuk Metaltech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Heungkuk Metaltech CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Heungkuk Metaltech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Heungkuk Stock

Heungkuk Metaltech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Heungkuk Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Heungkuk with respect to the benefits of owning Heungkuk Metaltech security.