Lily Textile (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.5
| 1443 Stock | 32.60 0.25 0.76% |
Lily |
Lily Textile Target Price Odds to finish below 31.5
The tendency of Lily Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 31.50 or more in 90 days |
| 32.60 | 90 days | 31.50 | nearly 4.83 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lily Textile to drop to 31.50 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.83 (This Lily Textile Co probability density function shows the probability of Lily Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lily Textile price to stay between 31.50 and its current price of 32.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lily Textile has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lily Textile average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lily Textile Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lily Textile Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lily Textile Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lily Textile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lily Textile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lily Textile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lily Textile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lily Textile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lily Textile Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lily Textile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Lily Textile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lily Textile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lily Textile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lily Textile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lily Textile has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Lily Textile Co has accumulated 3.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 298.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lily Textile has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lily Textile until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lily Textile's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lily Textile sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lily to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lily Textile's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 61.0% of Lily Textile shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Lily Textile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lily Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lily Textile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lily Textile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 134.9 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 463.6 M |
Lily Textile Technical Analysis
Lily Textile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lily Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lily Textile Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lily Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lily Textile Predictive Forecast Models
Lily Textile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lily Textile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lily Textile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lily Textile
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lily Textile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lily Textile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lily Textile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lily Textile has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Lily Textile Co has accumulated 3.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 298.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lily Textile has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lily Textile until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lily Textile's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lily Textile sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lily to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lily Textile's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 61.0% of Lily Textile shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Lily Stock Analysis
When running Lily Textile's price analysis, check to measure Lily Textile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lily Textile is operating at the current time. Most of Lily Textile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lily Textile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lily Textile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lily Textile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.