MACOM Technology (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 116.92
| 1MA Stock | EUR 127.00 1.00 0.78% |
MACOM |
MACOM Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 116.92
The tendency of MACOM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 116.92 or more in 90 days |
| 127.00 | 90 days | 116.92 | about 86.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MACOM Technology to drop to € 116.92 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.85 (This MACOM Technology Solutions probability density function shows the probability of MACOM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MACOM Technology Sol price to stay between € 116.92 and its current price of €127.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.78 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MACOM Technology will likely underperform. Additionally MACOM Technology Solutions has an alpha of 0.302, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MACOM Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MACOM Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MACOM Technology Sol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MACOM Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MACOM Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MACOM Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MACOM Technology Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MACOM Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
MACOM Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MACOM Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MACOM Technology Sol can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MACOM Technology Sol appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| MACOM Technology Sol has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
MACOM Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MACOM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MACOM Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MACOM Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 70 M |
MACOM Technology Technical Analysis
MACOM Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MACOM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MACOM Technology Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing MACOM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MACOM Technology Predictive Forecast Models
MACOM Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many MACOM Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MACOM Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MACOM Technology Sol
Checking the ongoing alerts about MACOM Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MACOM Technology Sol help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MACOM Technology Sol appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| MACOM Technology Sol has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in MACOM Stock
When determining whether MACOM Technology Sol offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MACOM Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Macom Technology Solutions Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Macom Technology Solutions Stock:Check out MACOM Technology Backtesting, MACOM Technology Valuation, MACOM Technology Correlation, MACOM Technology Hype Analysis, MACOM Technology Volatility, MACOM Technology History as well as MACOM Technology Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.