MACOM Technology (Germany) Price Patterns
| 1MA Stock | EUR 206.00 2.00 0.98% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.544 | Wall Street Target Price 70.43 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.245 |
Using MACOM Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MACOM Technology Solutions from the perspective of MACOM Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MACOM Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MACOM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MACOM Technology after-hype prediction price | EUR 209.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MACOM |
MACOM Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MACOM Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MACOM Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MACOM Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MACOM Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MACOM Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MACOM Technology's historical news coverage. MACOM Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 205.31 and 213.17, respectively. We have considered MACOM Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MACOM Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MACOM Technology Sol is based on 3 months time horizon.
MACOM Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MACOM Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MACOM Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MACOM Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.81 | 3.93 | 3.24 | 93.61 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
206.00 | 209.24 | 1.57 |
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MACOM Technology Hype Timeline
MACOM Technology Sol is presently traded for 206.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -93.61. MACOM is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 209.24 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 98.25%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 1.57%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.81%. The volatility of related hype on MACOM Technology is about 3.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 112.39. The company reported the revenue of 967.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 563.67 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out MACOM Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MACOM Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MACOM Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MACOM Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how MACOM Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MACOM Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PQ9 | PT Bank Mandiri | 0.04 | 1 per month | 5.73 | 0.05 | 17.39 | (14.29) | 40.26 | |
| PQ90 | BK MANDIRI ADR20 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.79 | 0.06 | 11.49 | (9.09) | 42.92 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | 14.07 | 7 per month | 4.39 | (0.01) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 26.67 | |
| SSUN | Samsung Electronics Co | 54.00 | 8 per month | 2.29 | 0.23 | 6.04 | (4.93) | 14.94 | |
| SSU | Samsung Electronics Co | 10.00 | 2 per month | 2.20 | 0.25 | 7.66 | (4.89) | 15.03 | |
| SSUN | Samsung Electronics Co | (1,204) | 6 per month | 2.19 | 0.22 | 6.10 | (4.11) | 13.83 | |
| SSU | Samsung Electronics Co | (30.00) | 1 per month | 2.12 | 0.23 | 6.22 | (3.69) | 15.50 | |
| BZG2 | PT Bank Central | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.50 | (7.69) | 22.82 | |
| TCID | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | 0.00 | 1 per month | 5.37 | 0.01 | 12.50 | (15.00) | 35.42 | |
| PTI | Perusahaan Perseroan PT | 0.1 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.81 | (3.30) | 16.77 |
MACOM Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MACOM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MACOM using various technical indicators. When you analyze MACOM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MACOM Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MACOM Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MACOM Technology Solutions, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MACOM Technology based on analysis of MACOM Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MACOM Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MACOM Technology's related companies.
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Complementary Tools for MACOM Stock analysis
When running MACOM Technology's price analysis, check to measure MACOM Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MACOM Technology is operating at the current time. Most of MACOM Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MACOM Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MACOM Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MACOM Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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