ADTechnology CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18970.00

200710 Stock  KRW 18,970  530.00  2.72%   
ADTechnology CoLtd's future price is the expected price of ADTechnology CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ADTechnology CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ADTechnology CoLtd Backtesting, ADTechnology CoLtd Valuation, ADTechnology CoLtd Correlation, ADTechnology CoLtd Hype Analysis, ADTechnology CoLtd Volatility, ADTechnology CoLtd History as well as ADTechnology CoLtd Performance.
  
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ADTechnology CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish over 18970.00

The tendency of ADTechnology Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18,970 90 days 18,970 
about 13.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ADTechnology CoLtd to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.09 (This ADTechnology CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of ADTechnology Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ADTechnology CoLtd has a beta of -0.86. This suggests Additionally ADTechnology CoLtd has an alpha of 0.5502, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ADTechnology CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ADTechnology CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADTechnology CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18,96518,97018,975
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14,82114,82620,867
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19,31319,31819,323
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14,46718,02021,573
Details

ADTechnology CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ADTechnology CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ADTechnology CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ADTechnology CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ADTechnology CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.86
σ
Overall volatility
2,334
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

ADTechnology CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ADTechnology CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ADTechnology CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ADTechnology CoLtd had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ADTechnology CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ADTechnology Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ADTechnology CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ADTechnology CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments54.9 B

ADTechnology CoLtd Technical Analysis

ADTechnology CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ADTechnology Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ADTechnology CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing ADTechnology Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ADTechnology CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

ADTechnology CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many ADTechnology CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ADTechnology CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ADTechnology CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about ADTechnology CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ADTechnology CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ADTechnology CoLtd had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in ADTechnology Stock

ADTechnology CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether ADTechnology Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ADTechnology with respect to the benefits of owning ADTechnology CoLtd security.