AECC Aviation (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.83
| 600893 Stock | 40.50 0.18 0.44% |
AECC |
AECC Aviation Target Price Odds to finish below 28.83
The tendency of AECC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 28.83 or more in 90 days |
| 40.50 | 90 days | 28.83 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AECC Aviation to drop to 28.83 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AECC Aviation Power probability density function shows the probability of AECC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AECC Aviation Power price to stay between 28.83 and its current price of 40.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AECC Aviation Power has a beta of -0.34. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AECC Aviation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AECC Aviation Power is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AECC Aviation Power has an alpha of 0.308, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AECC Aviation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AECC Aviation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AECC Aviation Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AECC Aviation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AECC Aviation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AECC Aviation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AECC Aviation Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AECC Aviation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
AECC Aviation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AECC Aviation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AECC Aviation Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AECC Aviation Power is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AECC Aviation generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
AECC Aviation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AECC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AECC Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AECC Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B |
AECC Aviation Technical Analysis
AECC Aviation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AECC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AECC Aviation Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing AECC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AECC Aviation Predictive Forecast Models
AECC Aviation's time-series forecasting models is one of many AECC Aviation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AECC Aviation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AECC Aviation Power
Checking the ongoing alerts about AECC Aviation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AECC Aviation Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AECC Aviation Power is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AECC Aviation generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in AECC Stock
AECC Aviation financial ratios help investors to determine whether AECC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AECC with respect to the benefits of owning AECC Aviation security.