HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 62.55

603296 Stock   62.55  0.45  0.72%   
HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY's future price is the expected price of HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Backtesting, HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Valuation, HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Correlation, HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Hype Analysis, HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Volatility, HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY History as well as HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Performance.
  
Please specify HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY's target price for which you would like HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY odds to be computed.

HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Target Price Odds to finish over 62.55

The tendency of HUAQIN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 62.55 90 days 62.55 
about 9.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.5 (This HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD probability density function shows the probability of HUAQIN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY has a beta of 0.48. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD has an alpha of 0.4925, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.2862.5565.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.7750.0468.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.3261.5864.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.6459.9965.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD.

HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
6.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Technical Analysis

HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HUAQIN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing HUAQIN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY Predictive Forecast Models

HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY's time-series forecasting models is one of many HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in HUAQIN Stock

HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY financial ratios help investors to determine whether HUAQIN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HUAQIN with respect to the benefits of owning HUAQIN TECHNOLOGY security.