Juewei Food (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.00

603517 Stock   19.00  0.57  2.91%   
Juewei Food's future price is the expected price of Juewei Food instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Juewei Food Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Juewei Food Backtesting, Juewei Food Valuation, Juewei Food Correlation, Juewei Food Hype Analysis, Juewei Food Volatility, Juewei Food History as well as Juewei Food Performance.
  
Please specify Juewei Food's target price for which you would like Juewei Food odds to be computed.

Juewei Food Target Price Odds to finish over 19.00

The tendency of Juewei Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.00 90 days 19.00 
about 13.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Juewei Food to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.0 (This Juewei Food Co probability density function shows the probability of Juewei Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Juewei Food Co has a beta of -0.5. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Juewei Food are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Juewei Food Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Juewei Food Co has an alpha of 0.5776, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Juewei Food Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Juewei Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Juewei Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2720.4224.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3715.5222.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2319.3823.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Juewei Food Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Juewei Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Juewei Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Juewei Food Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Juewei Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
3.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Juewei Food Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Juewei Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Juewei Food can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Juewei Food appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Juewei Food Using Too Much Debt - Simply Wall St

Juewei Food Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Juewei Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Juewei Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Juewei Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding631.2 M

Juewei Food Technical Analysis

Juewei Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Juewei Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Juewei Food Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Juewei Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Juewei Food Predictive Forecast Models

Juewei Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Juewei Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Juewei Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Juewei Food

Checking the ongoing alerts about Juewei Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Juewei Food help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Juewei Food appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Juewei Food Using Too Much Debt - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Juewei Stock

Juewei Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Juewei Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Juewei with respect to the benefits of owning Juewei Food security.