Armada Mercantile Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.21
| AAMTF Stock | USD 0.25 0.05 16.67% |
Armada |
Armada Mercantile Target Price Odds to finish below 0.21
The tendency of Armada Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.21 or more in 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 0.21 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Armada Mercantile to drop to $ 0.21 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Armada Mercantile probability density function shows the probability of Armada Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Armada Mercantile price to stay between $ 0.21 and its current price of $0.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Armada Mercantile has a beta of -0.39. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Armada Mercantile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Armada Mercantile is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Armada Mercantile has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Armada Mercantile Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Armada Mercantile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armada Mercantile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Armada Mercantile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Armada Mercantile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Armada Mercantile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Armada Mercantile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Armada Mercantile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Armada Mercantile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Armada Mercantile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Armada Mercantile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Armada Mercantile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Armada Mercantile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Armada Mercantile has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Armada Mercantile has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Armada Mercantile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Armada Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Armada Mercantile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Armada Mercantile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.1 M |
Armada Mercantile Technical Analysis
Armada Mercantile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Armada Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Armada Mercantile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Armada Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Armada Mercantile Predictive Forecast Models
Armada Mercantile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Armada Mercantile's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Armada Mercantile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Armada Mercantile
Checking the ongoing alerts about Armada Mercantile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Armada Mercantile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Armada Mercantile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Armada Mercantile has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Armada Mercantile has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Armada Pink Sheet
Armada Mercantile financial ratios help investors to determine whether Armada Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Armada with respect to the benefits of owning Armada Mercantile security.