Adgar Investments (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 495.54
| ADGR Stock | ILS 500.00 2.20 0.44% |
Adgar |
Adgar Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 495.54
The tendency of Adgar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to S 495.54 or more in 90 days |
| 500.00 | 90 days | 495.54 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adgar Investments to drop to S 495.54 or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Adgar Investments and probability density function shows the probability of Adgar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adgar Investments price to stay between S 495.54 and its current price of S500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adgar Investments has a beta of 0.19. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Adgar Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Adgar Investments and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Adgar Investments and has an alpha of 0.1203, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Adgar Investments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adgar Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adgar Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Adgar Investments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adgar Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adgar Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adgar Investments and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adgar Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Adgar Investments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adgar Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adgar Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adgar Investments has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Adgar Investments and has accumulated 2.86 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 281.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Adgar Investments has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Adgar Investments until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Adgar Investments' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Adgar Investments sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Adgar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Adgar Investments' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 52.0% of Adgar Investments shares are held by company insiders |
Adgar Investments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adgar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adgar Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adgar Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 163.6 M |
Adgar Investments Technical Analysis
Adgar Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adgar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adgar Investments and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adgar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Adgar Investments Predictive Forecast Models
Adgar Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Adgar Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adgar Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Adgar Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adgar Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adgar Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Adgar Investments has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Adgar Investments and has accumulated 2.86 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 281.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Adgar Investments has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Adgar Investments until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Adgar Investments' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Adgar Investments sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Adgar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Adgar Investments' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 52.0% of Adgar Investments shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Adgar Stock
Adgar Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adgar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adgar with respect to the benefits of owning Adgar Investments security.