Adira Dinamika (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10067.77
| ADMF Stock | IDR 10,275 150.00 1.48% |
Adira |
Adira Dinamika Target Price Odds to finish below 10067.77
The tendency of Adira Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10,068 or more in 90 days |
| 10,275 | 90 days | 10,068 | about 1.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adira Dinamika to drop to 10,068 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.18 (This Adira Dinamika Multi probability density function shows the probability of Adira Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adira Dinamika Multi price to stay between 10,068 and its current price of 10275.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adira Dinamika has a beta of 0.0332. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Adira Dinamika average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Adira Dinamika Multi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Adira Dinamika Multi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Adira Dinamika Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adira Dinamika
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adira Dinamika Multi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Adira Dinamika Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adira Dinamika is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adira Dinamika's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adira Dinamika Multi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adira Dinamika within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 395.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.34 |
Adira Dinamika Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adira Dinamika for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adira Dinamika Multi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adira Dinamika Multi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Adira Dinamika Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adira Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adira Dinamika's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adira Dinamika's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1000 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 T |
Adira Dinamika Technical Analysis
Adira Dinamika's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adira Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adira Dinamika Multi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adira Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Adira Dinamika Predictive Forecast Models
Adira Dinamika's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adira Dinamika's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adira Dinamika's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Adira Dinamika Multi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adira Dinamika for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adira Dinamika Multi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Adira Dinamika Multi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Adira Stock
Adira Dinamika financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adira Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adira with respect to the benefits of owning Adira Dinamika security.