Aimia Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.25
| AIM Stock | CAD 2.59 0.09 3.60% |
Aimia |
Aimia Target Price Odds to finish over 2.25
The tendency of Aimia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above C$ 2.25 in 90 days |
| 2.59 | 90 days | 2.25 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aimia to stay above C$ 2.25 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Aimia Inc probability density function shows the probability of Aimia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aimia Inc price to stay between C$ 2.25 and its current price of C$2.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aimia has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aimia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aimia Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aimia Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aimia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aimia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aimia Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aimia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aimia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aimia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aimia Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aimia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Aimia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aimia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aimia Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aimia Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 207.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (188 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 464.5 M. | |
| Aimia Inc has accumulated about 505.3 M in cash with (12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.27. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aimia Shares Cross Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
Aimia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aimia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aimia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aimia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 137.3 M |
Aimia Technical Analysis
Aimia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aimia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aimia Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aimia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aimia Predictive Forecast Models
Aimia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aimia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aimia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aimia Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aimia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aimia Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aimia Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 207.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (188 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 464.5 M. | |
| Aimia Inc has accumulated about 505.3 M in cash with (12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.27. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aimia Shares Cross Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Aimia Stock
Aimia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aimia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aimia with respect to the benefits of owning Aimia security.