Alternus Energy Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| ALCE Stock | 1.36 0.07 4.90% |
Alternus |
Alternus Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Alternus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 1.36 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alternus Energy to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alternus Energy Group probability density function shows the probability of Alternus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alternus Energy Group price to stay between 0.01 and its current price of 1.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.04 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alternus Energy Group has a beta of -0.65. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alternus Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alternus Energy Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alternus Energy Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alternus Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alternus Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternus Energy Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alternus Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alternus Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alternus Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alternus Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alternus Energy Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alternus Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.93 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.33 |
Alternus Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alternus Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alternus Energy Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alternus Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alternus Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Alternus Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Alternus Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Alternus Energy Group was previously known as Clean Earth Acquisitions and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CLIN. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Alternus Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Alternus Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alternus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alternus Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alternus Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.8 M |
Alternus Energy Technical Analysis
Alternus Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alternus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alternus Energy Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alternus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alternus Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Alternus Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alternus Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alternus Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alternus Energy Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alternus Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alternus Energy Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alternus Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alternus Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Alternus Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Alternus Energy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Alternus Energy Group was previously known as Clean Earth Acquisitions and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CLIN. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 20.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Alternus Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Check out Alternus Energy Backtesting, Alternus Energy Valuation, Alternus Energy Correlation, Alternus Energy Hype Analysis, Alternus Energy Volatility, Alternus Energy History as well as Alternus Energy Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alternus Energy. If investors know Alternus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alternus Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (24.81) | Revenue Per Share 1.133 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets (0.06) |
The market value of Alternus Energy Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alternus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alternus Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alternus Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alternus Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alternus Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alternus Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alternus Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alternus Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.