Entech SE (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.65
| ALESE Stock | 5.10 0.20 4.08% |
Entech |
Entech SE Target Price Odds to finish below 1.65
The tendency of Entech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.65 or more in 90 days |
| 5.10 | 90 days | 1.65 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Entech SE to drop to 1.65 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Entech SE SAS probability density function shows the probability of Entech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Entech SE SAS price to stay between 1.65 and its current price of 5.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Entech SE SAS has a beta of -1.22. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Entech SE SAS are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Entech SE is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Entech SE SAS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Entech SE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Entech SE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entech SE SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Entech SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Entech SE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Entech SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Entech SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Entech SE SAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Entech SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Entech SE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Entech SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Entech SE SAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Entech SE SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Entech SE SAS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 20.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (277.61 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.95 M. | |
| Entech SE SAS has accumulated about 109.54 K in cash with (5.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Entech SE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Entech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Entech SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Entech SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.9 M |
Entech SE Technical Analysis
Entech SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Entech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Entech SE SAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Entech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Entech SE Predictive Forecast Models
Entech SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Entech SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Entech SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Entech SE SAS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Entech SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Entech SE SAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Entech SE SAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Entech SE SAS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 20.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (277.61 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.95 M. | |
| Entech SE SAS has accumulated about 109.54 K in cash with (5.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Entech Stock Analysis
When running Entech SE's price analysis, check to measure Entech SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Entech SE is operating at the current time. Most of Entech SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Entech SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Entech SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Entech SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.