Alamo Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.5E-5
| ALME Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Alamo |
Alamo Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 8.5E-5
The tendency of Alamo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.000085 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0001 | 90 days | 0.000085 | about 58.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alamo Energy to drop to $ 0.000085 or more in 90 days from now is about 58.22 (This Alamo Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Alamo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alamo Energy Corp price to stay between $ 0.000085 and its current price of $1.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alamo Energy has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This suggests the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Alamo Energy do not appear to be highly-sensitive. Additionally It does not look like Alamo Energy's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Alamo Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alamo Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alamo Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alamo Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alamo Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alamo Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alamo Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alamo Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000043 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.00 |
Alamo Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alamo Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alamo Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alamo Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alamo Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alamo Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.35 K. Net Loss for the year was (282.78 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.35 K. | |
| Alamo Energy Corp currently holds about 141.84 K in cash with (67) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Alamo Energy Corp has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 99.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Victory Capital Management Inc. Acquires 28,786 Shares of Alamo Group Inc. - MarketBeat |
Alamo Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alamo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alamo Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alamo Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 1.7 M |
Alamo Energy Technical Analysis
Alamo Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alamo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alamo Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alamo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alamo Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Alamo Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alamo Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alamo Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alamo Energy Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alamo Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alamo Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alamo Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Alamo Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alamo Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.35 K. Net Loss for the year was (282.78 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.35 K. | |
| Alamo Energy Corp currently holds about 141.84 K in cash with (67) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Alamo Energy Corp has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 99.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Victory Capital Management Inc. Acquires 28,786 Shares of Alamo Group Inc. - MarketBeat |
Check out Alamo Energy Backtesting, Alamo Energy Valuation, Alamo Energy Correlation, Alamo Energy Hype Analysis, Alamo Energy Volatility, Alamo Energy History as well as Alamo Energy Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamo Energy. If investors know Alamo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alamo Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.807 | Return On Assets (0.19) |
The market value of Alamo Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alamo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alamo Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alamo Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alamo Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alamo Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alamo Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alamo Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alamo Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.