ABB PAR (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.10

ALZ Stock  EUR 13.10  0.00  0.00%   
ABB PAR's future price is the expected price of ABB PAR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ABB PAR AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ABB PAR Backtesting, ABB PAR Valuation, ABB PAR Correlation, ABB PAR Hype Analysis, ABB PAR Volatility, ABB PAR History as well as ABB PAR Performance.
  
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ABB PAR Target Price Odds to finish over 13.10

The tendency of ABB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.10 90 days 13.10 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ABB PAR to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ABB PAR AB probability density function shows the probability of ABB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ABB PAR AB has a beta of -0.0953. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ABB PAR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ABB PAR AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ABB PAR AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ABB PAR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ABB PAR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABB PAR AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9313.1014.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1011.2714.41
Details

ABB PAR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ABB PAR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ABB PAR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ABB PAR AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ABB PAR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

ABB PAR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ABB PAR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ABB PAR AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ABB PAR AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ABB PAR Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ABB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ABB PAR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABB PAR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0191
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.2
Shares Float1.9 B

ABB PAR Technical Analysis

ABB PAR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ABB PAR AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ABB PAR Predictive Forecast Models

ABB PAR's time-series forecasting models is one of many ABB PAR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ABB PAR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ABB PAR AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about ABB PAR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ABB PAR AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ABB PAR AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ABB Stock

ABB PAR financial ratios help investors to determine whether ABB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ABB with respect to the benefits of owning ABB PAR security.