Arcadia Minerals (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.023
| AM7 Stock | 0.02 0 11.54% |
Arcadia |
Arcadia Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.023
The tendency of Arcadia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arcadia Minerals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Arcadia Minerals Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Arcadia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arcadia Minerals has a beta of 0.61. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arcadia Minerals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arcadia Minerals Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arcadia Minerals Ltd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Arcadia Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arcadia Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arcadia Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arcadia Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arcadia Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arcadia Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arcadia Minerals Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arcadia Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Arcadia Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arcadia Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arcadia Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arcadia Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arcadia Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Arcadia Minerals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Arcadia Minerals Ltd has accumulated about 280.39 K in cash with (1.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arcadia Biosciences Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance |
Arcadia Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arcadia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arcadia Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arcadia Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 258.9 K |
Arcadia Minerals Technical Analysis
Arcadia Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arcadia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arcadia Minerals Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arcadia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arcadia Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Arcadia Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Arcadia Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arcadia Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arcadia Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arcadia Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arcadia Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arcadia Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arcadia Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Arcadia Minerals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Arcadia Minerals Ltd has accumulated about 280.39 K in cash with (1.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arcadia Biosciences Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Arcadia Stock Analysis
When running Arcadia Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Arcadia Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arcadia Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Arcadia Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arcadia Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arcadia Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arcadia Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.