Amc Entertainment Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.05
| AMC Stock | USD 4.49 0.05 1.13% |
AMC |
AMC Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05
The tendency of AMC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.05 or more in 90 days |
| 4.49 | 90 days | 0.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMC Entertainment to drop to $ 0.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AMC Entertainment Holdings probability density function shows the probability of AMC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AMC Entertainment price to stay between $ 0.05 and its current price of $4.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.58 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AMC Entertainment will likely underperform. Additionally AMC Entertainment Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AMC Entertainment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AMC Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMC Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AMC Entertainment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMC Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMC Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMC Entertainment Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMC Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
AMC Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMC Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMC Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AMC Entertainment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AMC Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| AMC Entertainment Holdings has 9.14 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 852.6, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for AMC to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.81 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (396.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.5 M. | |
| AMC Entertainment Holdings has about 631.5 M in cash with (215.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.33. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AMC Entertainment Stock Surges Over 5 percent Amid Market Volatility |
AMC Entertainment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMC Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMC Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 167.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 884.3 M |
AMC Entertainment Technical Analysis
AMC Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMC Entertainment Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AMC Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models
AMC Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many AMC Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AMC Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AMC Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about AMC Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMC Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AMC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AMC Entertainment has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AMC Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| AMC Entertainment Holdings has 9.14 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 852.6, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for AMC to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.81 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (396.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.5 M. | |
| AMC Entertainment Holdings has about 631.5 M in cash with (215.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.33. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AMC Entertainment Stock Surges Over 5 percent Amid Market Volatility |
Check out AMC Entertainment Backtesting, AMC Entertainment Valuation, AMC Entertainment Correlation, AMC Entertainment Hype Analysis, AMC Entertainment Volatility, AMC Entertainment History as well as AMC Entertainment Performance. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMC Entertainment. If investors know AMC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMC Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.36) | Revenue Per Share 15.208 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of AMC Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMC Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMC Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMC Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMC Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMC Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMC Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMC Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.