Amark Preci Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.29
| AMRK Stock | USD 29.74 0.17 0.57% |
Amark |
Amark Preci Target Price Odds to finish below 38.29
The tendency of Amark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 38.29 after 90 days |
| 29.74 | 90 days | 38.29 | about 41.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amark Preci to stay under $ 38.29 after 90 days from now is about 41.77 (This Amark Preci probability density function shows the probability of Amark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amark Preci price to stay between its current price of $ 29.74 and $ 38.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.04 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Amark Preci has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amark Preci average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amark Preci will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amark Preci has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Amark Preci Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amark Preci
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amark Preci. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amark Preci Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amark Preci is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amark Preci's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amark Preci, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amark Preci within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Amark Preci Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amark Preci for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amark Preci can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amark Preci generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amark Preci has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Amark Preci has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of October 2024 Amark Preci paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: A-Mark Precious Metals shareholders approve board nominees |
Amark Preci Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amark Preci's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amark Preci's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.6 M |
Amark Preci Technical Analysis
Amark Preci's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amark Preci. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amark Preci Predictive Forecast Models
Amark Preci's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amark Preci's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amark Preci's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amark Preci
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amark Preci for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amark Preci help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amark Preci generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Amark Preci has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Amark Preci has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of October 2024 Amark Preci paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: A-Mark Precious Metals shareholders approve board nominees |
Check out Amark Preci Backtesting, Amark Preci Valuation, Amark Preci Correlation, Amark Preci Hype Analysis, Amark Preci Volatility, Amark Preci History as well as Amark Preci Performance. For more information on how to buy Amark Stock please use our How to buy in Amark Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Specialized Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amark Preci. If investors know Amark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amark Preci listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 2.44 | Revenue Per Share 431.574 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 |
The market value of Amark Preci is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amark Preci's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amark Preci's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amark Preci's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amark Preci's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amark Preci's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amark Preci is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amark Preci's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.