Amentum Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36.59
| AMTM Stock | 36.59 0.94 2.50% |
Closest to current price Amentum long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Amentum Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 36.59
The tendency of Amentum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 36.59 | 90 days | 36.59 | about 7.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amentum Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.94 (This Amentum Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Amentum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Amentum Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amentum Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amentum Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amentum Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amentum Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amentum Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amentum Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amentum Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amentum Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Amentum Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amentum Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amentum Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amentum Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Amentum Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot |
Amentum Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amentum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amentum Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amentum Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 244 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 437 M |
Amentum Holdings Technical Analysis
Amentum Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amentum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amentum Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amentum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amentum Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Amentum Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Amentum Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amentum Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amentum Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amentum Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amentum Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amentum Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Amentum Fiscal Q1 Earnings Snapshot |
Check out Amentum Holdings Analysis, Amentum Holdings Valuation, Amentum Holdings Correlation, Amentum Holdings Hype Analysis, Amentum Holdings Volatility, Amentum Holdings Price History as well as Amentum Holdings Performance. To learn how to invest in Amentum Stock, please use our How to Invest in Amentum Holdings guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Will Research & Consulting Services sector continue expanding? Could Amentum diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amentum Holdings. If investors know Amentum will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Amentum Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Earnings Share 0.27 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.774 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Amentum Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amentum that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amentum Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amentum Holdings' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Amentum Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amentum Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Amentum Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amentum Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Amentum Holdings' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.