American Manganese Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.076

AMYZF Stock  USD 0.09  0  4.44%   
American Manganese's future price is the expected price of American Manganese instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Manganese performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Manganese Backtesting, American Manganese Valuation, American Manganese Correlation, American Manganese Hype Analysis, American Manganese Volatility, American Manganese History as well as American Manganese Performance.
  
Please specify American Manganese's target price for which you would like American Manganese odds to be computed.

American Manganese Target Price Odds to finish over 0.076

The tendency of American OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.08  in 90 days
 0.09 90 days 0.08 
about 55.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Manganese to stay above $ 0.08  in 90 days from now is about 55.17 (This American Manganese probability density function shows the probability of American OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Manganese price to stay between $ 0.08  and its current price of $0.086 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.44 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Manganese has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American Manganese are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Manganese is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American Manganese has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   American Manganese Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Manganese

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Manganese. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.096.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.076.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.16.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.080.090.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Manganese. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Manganese's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Manganese's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Manganese.

American Manganese Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Manganese is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Manganese's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Manganese, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Manganese within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

American Manganese Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Manganese for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Manganese can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Manganese had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Manganese has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Manganese has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (11.31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (32.08 K).
American Manganese has accumulated about 22.84 M in cash with (4.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

American Manganese Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Manganese's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Manganese's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding248.2 M

American Manganese Technical Analysis

American Manganese's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Manganese. In general, you should focus on analyzing American OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Manganese Predictive Forecast Models

American Manganese's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Manganese's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Manganese's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Manganese

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Manganese for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Manganese help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
American Manganese had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Manganese has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Manganese has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (11.31 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (32.08 K).
American Manganese has accumulated about 22.84 M in cash with (4.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in American OTC Stock

American Manganese financial ratios help investors to determine whether American OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Manganese security.