Agriculture Natural Solutions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.52
| ANSCU Stock | 10.56 0.06 0.57% |
Agriculture |
Agriculture Natural Target Price Odds to finish over 10.52
The tendency of Agriculture Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 10.52 in 90 days |
| 10.56 | 90 days | 10.52 | about 47.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agriculture Natural to stay above 10.52 in 90 days from now is about 47.34 (This Agriculture Natural Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Agriculture Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Agriculture Natural price to stay between 10.52 and its current price of 10.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Agriculture Natural has a beta of 0.33. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Agriculture Natural average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Agriculture Natural Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Agriculture Natural Solutions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Agriculture Natural Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Agriculture Natural
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agriculture Natural. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agriculture Natural's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agriculture Natural Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agriculture Natural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agriculture Natural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agriculture Natural Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agriculture Natural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Agriculture Natural Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agriculture Natural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agriculture Natural can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Agriculture Natural generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: First Trust Capital Management L.P. Expands Stake in Agriculture Natural Solutions Acquisition Corp - GuruFocus.com |
Agriculture Natural Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agriculture Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agriculture Natural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agriculture Natural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 284.8 K |
Agriculture Natural Technical Analysis
Agriculture Natural's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agriculture Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agriculture Natural Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agriculture Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Agriculture Natural Predictive Forecast Models
Agriculture Natural's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agriculture Natural's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agriculture Natural's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Agriculture Natural
Checking the ongoing alerts about Agriculture Natural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agriculture Natural help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Agriculture Natural generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: First Trust Capital Management L.P. Expands Stake in Agriculture Natural Solutions Acquisition Corp - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Agriculture Stock Analysis
When running Agriculture Natural's price analysis, check to measure Agriculture Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agriculture Natural is operating at the current time. Most of Agriculture Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agriculture Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agriculture Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agriculture Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.