Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.80

APAAX Fund  USD 9.80  0.03  0.31%   
Ab Pennsylvania's future price is the expected price of Ab Pennsylvania instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ab Pennsylvania Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ab Pennsylvania Correlation, Ab Pennsylvania Hype Analysis, Ab Pennsylvania Volatility, Ab Pennsylvania History as well as Ab Pennsylvania Performance.
  
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Ab Pennsylvania Target Price Odds to finish over 9.80

The tendency of APAAX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.80 90 days 9.80 
about 27.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ab Pennsylvania to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.26 (This Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of APAAX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio has a beta of -0.0813. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ab Pennsylvania are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio has an alpha of 0.0109, implying that it can generate a 0.0109 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ab Pennsylvania Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ab Pennsylvania

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.609.8010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.359.5510.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.599.799.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.739.769.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ab Pennsylvania. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ab Pennsylvania's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ab Pennsylvania's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio.

Ab Pennsylvania Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ab Pennsylvania is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ab Pennsylvania's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ab Pennsylvania within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.6

Ab Pennsylvania Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ab Pennsylvania for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Apax scraps option of sizeable continuation fund for multiple companies - Secondaries Investor
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio holds about 99.5% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Ab Pennsylvania Technical Analysis

Ab Pennsylvania's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. APAAX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing APAAX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ab Pennsylvania Predictive Forecast Models

Ab Pennsylvania's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ab Pennsylvania's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ab Pennsylvania's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ab Pennsylvania for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Apax scraps option of sizeable continuation fund for multiple companies - Secondaries Investor
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio holds about 99.5% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in APAAX Mutual Fund

Ab Pennsylvania financial ratios help investors to determine whether APAAX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APAAX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Pennsylvania security.
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