Appian Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.91
| APPN Stock | USD 38.55 2.43 6.73% |
Appian |
Appian Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 31.91
The tendency of Appian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.91 or more in 90 days |
| 38.55 | 90 days | 31.91 | about 27.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Appian Corp to drop to $ 31.91 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.09 (This Appian Corp probability density function shows the probability of Appian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Appian Corp price to stay between $ 31.91 and its current price of $38.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.01 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Appian Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Appian Corp has an alpha of 0.1297, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Appian Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Appian Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Appian Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Appian Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Appian Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Appian Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Appian Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Appian Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Appian Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Appian Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Appian Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 545.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (111.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 334.69 M. | |
| Appian Corp currently holds about 92.69 M in cash with (110.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.28. | |
| Appian Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Appian Could Find a Support Soon, Heres Why You Should Buy the Stock Now |
Appian Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Appian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Appian Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Appian Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 159 M |
Appian Corp Technical Analysis
Appian Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Appian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Appian Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Appian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Appian Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Appian Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Appian Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Appian Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Appian Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Appian Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Appian Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 545.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (111.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 334.69 M. | |
| Appian Corp currently holds about 92.69 M in cash with (110.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.28. | |
| Appian Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 81.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Appian Could Find a Support Soon, Heres Why You Should Buy the Stock Now |
Check out Appian Corp Backtesting, Appian Corp Valuation, Appian Corp Correlation, Appian Corp Hype Analysis, Appian Corp Volatility, Appian Corp History as well as Appian Corp Performance. To learn how to invest in Appian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Appian Corp guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Appian Corp. If investors know Appian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Appian Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.21) | Revenue Per Share 8.179 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 | Return On Assets (0.08) | Return On Equity (9.69) |
The market value of Appian Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Appian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Appian Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Appian Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Appian Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Appian Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Appian Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Appian Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Appian Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.