Alaska Power Telephone Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 54.02
| APTL Stock | USD 55.50 0.75 1.37% |
Alaska |
Alaska Power Target Price Odds to finish below 54.02
The tendency of Alaska Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 54.02 or more in 90 days |
| 55.50 | 90 days | 54.02 | about 35.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alaska Power to drop to $ 54.02 or more in 90 days from now is about 35.05 (This Alaska Power Telephone probability density function shows the probability of Alaska Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alaska Power Telephone price to stay between $ 54.02 and its current price of $55.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.14 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alaska Power has a beta of 0.0403. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alaska Power average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alaska Power Telephone will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alaska Power Telephone has an alpha of 0.0041, implying that it can generate a 0.004055 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alaska Power Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Alaska Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alaska Power Telephone. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alaska Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alaska Power Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alaska Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alaska Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alaska Power Telephone, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alaska Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Alaska Power Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alaska Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alaska Power Telephone can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alaska Power Telephone currently holds 73.97 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.05, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Alaska Power Telephone has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Alaska Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alaska Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alaska Power Telephone sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alaska to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alaska Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Alaska Power Technical Analysis
Alaska Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alaska Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alaska Power Telephone. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alaska Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alaska Power Predictive Forecast Models
Alaska Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alaska Power's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alaska Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alaska Power Telephone
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alaska Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alaska Power Telephone help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alaska Power Telephone currently holds 73.97 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.05, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Alaska Power Telephone has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Alaska Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alaska Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alaska Power Telephone sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alaska to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alaska Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Alaska Pink Sheet
Alaska Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alaska Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alaska with respect to the benefits of owning Alaska Power security.