Apt Systems Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.0E-4
| APTY Stock | USD 0.0005 0.0001 25.00% |
APT |
APT Systems Target Price Odds to finish over 4.0E-4
The tendency of APT Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.0004 in 90 days |
| 0.0005 | 90 days | 0.0004 | about 67.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of APT Systems to stay above $ 0.0004 in 90 days from now is about 67.1 (This APT Systems probability density function shows the probability of APT Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of APT Systems price to stay between $ 0.0004 and its current price of $5.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days APT Systems has a beta of -2.04. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding APT Systems are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, APT Systems is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that APT Systems has an alpha of 2.7191, implying that it can generate a 2.72 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). APT Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for APT Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as APT Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of APT Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
APT Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. APT Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the APT Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold APT Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of APT Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0001 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
APT Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of APT Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for APT Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| APT Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| APT Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| APT Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| APT Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| APT Systems currently holds 526.77 K in liabilities. APT Systems has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist APT Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, APT Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like APT Systems sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for APT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about APT Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 33. Net Loss for the year was (1.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33. | |
| APT Systems currently holds about 37.16 K in cash with (204.59 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
APT Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of APT Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential APT Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. APT Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 301.8 M |
APT Systems Technical Analysis
APT Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. APT Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of APT Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing APT Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
APT Systems Predictive Forecast Models
APT Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many APT Systems' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary APT Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about APT Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about APT Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for APT Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| APT Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| APT Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| APT Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| APT Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| APT Systems currently holds 526.77 K in liabilities. APT Systems has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist APT Systems until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, APT Systems' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like APT Systems sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for APT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about APT Systems' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 33. Net Loss for the year was (1.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33. | |
| APT Systems currently holds about 37.16 K in cash with (204.59 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Additional Tools for APT Pink Sheet Analysis
When running APT Systems' price analysis, check to measure APT Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy APT Systems is operating at the current time. Most of APT Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of APT Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move APT Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of APT Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.