Appyea Inc Stock Chance of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00

APYP Stock  USD 0.02  0  9.93%   
AppYea's future price is the expected price of AppYea instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AppYea Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AppYea Backtesting, AppYea Valuation, AppYea Correlation, AppYea Hype Analysis, AppYea Volatility, AppYea History as well as AppYea Performance.
  
Please specify AppYea's target price for which you would like AppYea odds to be computed.

AppYea Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00

The tendency of AppYea OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AppYea to drop to $ 0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AppYea Inc probability density function shows the probability of AppYea OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AppYea Inc price to stay between $ 0.00  and its current price of $0.0155 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.97 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AppYea has a beta of 0.68. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AppYea average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AppYea Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AppYea Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AppYea Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AppYea

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AppYea Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AppYea's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.028.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.018.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.028.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.02
Details

AppYea Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AppYea is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AppYea's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AppYea Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AppYea within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

AppYea Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AppYea for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AppYea Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AppYea Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AppYea Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AppYea Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AppYea Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
AppYea Inc currently holds 2 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. AppYea Inc has a current ratio of 0.15, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist AppYea until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AppYea's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AppYea Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AppYea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AppYea's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 351. Net Loss for the year was (3.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 345.
AppYea Inc currently holds about 189 K in cash with (168 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 74.0% of AppYea shares are held by company insiders

AppYea Technical Analysis

AppYea's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AppYea OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AppYea Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing AppYea OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AppYea Predictive Forecast Models

AppYea's time-series forecasting models is one of many AppYea's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AppYea's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AppYea Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about AppYea for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AppYea Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AppYea Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AppYea Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AppYea Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AppYea Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
AppYea Inc currently holds 2 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. AppYea Inc has a current ratio of 0.15, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist AppYea until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AppYea's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AppYea Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AppYea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AppYea's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 351. Net Loss for the year was (3.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 345.
AppYea Inc currently holds about 189 K in cash with (168 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 74.0% of AppYea shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for AppYea OTC Stock Analysis

When running AppYea's price analysis, check to measure AppYea's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AppYea is operating at the current time. Most of AppYea's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AppYea's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AppYea's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AppYea to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.