AppYea OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| APYP Stock | USD 0.03 0 4.44% |
AppYea OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of AppYea's otc stock price is slightly above 69. This suggests that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling AppYea, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AppYea hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AppYea Inc from the perspective of AppYea response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of AppYea Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. AppYea after-hype prediction price | USD 0.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AppYea |
AppYea Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AppYea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AppYea using various technical indicators. When you analyze AppYea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AppYea Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of AppYea Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000393, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AppYea OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AppYea's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AppYea OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AppYea | AppYea Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AppYea Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AppYea's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AppYea's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 8.90, respectively. We have considered AppYea's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AppYea otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AppYea otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.6627 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0015 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0997 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.092 |
Predictive Modules for AppYea
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AppYea Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AppYea's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AppYea After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AppYea at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AppYea or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of AppYea, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AppYea Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AppYea's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AppYea's historical news coverage. AppYea's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.83, respectively. We have considered AppYea's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AppYea is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AppYea Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
AppYea OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as AppYea is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AppYea backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AppYea, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.13 | 8.87 | 0.00 | 3.23 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.03 | 0.03 | 6.38 |
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AppYea Hype Timeline
AppYea Inc is presently traded for 0.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 3.23. AppYea is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 6.38%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.13%. The volatility of related hype on AppYea is about 310.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.26. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AppYea to cross-verify your projections.AppYea Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AppYea's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AppYea's future price movements. Getting to know how AppYea's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AppYea may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEAC | SeaChange International | (1.22) | 6 per month | 6.90 | 0.06 | 7.95 | (6.00) | 120.35 | |
| GRWC | Grow Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.76 | 0.09 | 53.33 | (40.74) | 173.75 | |
| EBZT | Everything Blockchain | 14.88 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 21.21 | (23.08) | 81.03 | |
| HMBL | Humbl Inc | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 133.33 | |
| MYIDF | Killi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 12.12 | (12.01) | 48.76 | |
| BCTCF | BC Technology Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.71 | |
| ELCO | Elcom International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KWIK | KwikClick | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.64 | (2.33) | 40.05 | |
| ZDGGF | ZOO Digital Group | 14.94 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.64 | |
| ROBOF | RoboGroup TEK | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for AppYea
For every potential investor in AppYea, whether a beginner or expert, AppYea's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AppYea OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AppYea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AppYea's price trends.AppYea Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AppYea otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AppYea could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AppYea by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AppYea Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AppYea otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AppYea shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AppYea otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AppYea Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0877 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.48 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0273 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0276 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0025 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.0016 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.0012 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 69.45 |
AppYea Risk Indicators
The analysis of AppYea's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AppYea's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting appyea otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.88 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.62 | |||
| Variance | 74.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 41.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 30.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AppYea
The number of cover stories for AppYea depends on current market conditions and AppYea's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AppYea is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AppYea's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for AppYea OTC Stock Analysis
When running AppYea's price analysis, check to measure AppYea's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AppYea is operating at the current time. Most of AppYea's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AppYea's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AppYea's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AppYea to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.