Avgol Industries (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 130.25
| AVGL Stock | 148.90 11.70 8.53% |
Avgol |
Avgol Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 130.25
The tendency of Avgol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 130.25 or more in 90 days |
| 148.90 | 90 days | 130.25 | about 76.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avgol Industries to drop to 130.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 76.82 (This Avgol Industries 1953 probability density function shows the probability of Avgol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Avgol Industries 1953 price to stay between 130.25 and its current price of 148.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Avgol Industries has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Avgol Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Avgol Industries 1953 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Avgol Industries 1953 has an alpha of 0.1041, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Avgol Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avgol Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avgol Industries 1953. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avgol Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avgol Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avgol Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avgol Industries 1953, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avgol Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Avgol Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avgol Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avgol Industries 1953 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avgol Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Avgol Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avgol Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avgol Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avgol Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 304.2 M |
Avgol Industries Technical Analysis
Avgol Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avgol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avgol Industries 1953. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avgol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avgol Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Avgol Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Avgol Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avgol Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avgol Industries 1953
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avgol Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avgol Industries 1953 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Avgol Industries has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Avgol Stock
Avgol Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avgol Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avgol with respect to the benefits of owning Avgol Industries security.