Avgol Industries (Israel) Price Prediction
| AVGL Stock | 148.90 11.70 8.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Avgol Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Avgol Industries 1953 from the perspective of Avgol Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Avgol Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Avgol because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Avgol Industries after-hype prediction price | ILA 137.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Avgol |
Avgol Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Avgol Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Avgol Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Avgol Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Avgol Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Avgol Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Avgol Industries' historical news coverage. Avgol Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 134.99 and 139.41, respectively. We have considered Avgol Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Avgol Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Avgol Industries 1953 is based on 3 months time horizon.
Avgol Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Avgol Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Avgol Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Avgol Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
148.90 | 137.20 | 0.00 |
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Avgol Industries Hype Timeline
Avgol Industries 1953 is presently traded for 148.90on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Avgol is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Avgol Industries is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 148.90. About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Avgol Industries 1953 last dividend was issued on the 29th of March 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Avgol Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Avgol Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Avgol Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Avgol Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Avgol Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Avgol Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALHE | Alony Hetz Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.02 | 3.83 | (3.62) | 12.74 | |
| DISI | Discount Investment Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | 0.14 | 4.37 | (3.82) | 14.52 | |
| MGDL | Migdal Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.19 | 3.81 | (2.07) | 7.52 | |
| BEZQ | Bezeq Israeli Telecommunication | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.10 | 3.25 | (2.35) | 7.89 | |
| CLIS | Clal Insurance Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.48 | 0.10 | 3.77 | (2.57) | 7.47 |
Avgol Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Avgol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avgol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avgol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Avgol Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Avgol Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Avgol Industries 1953, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Avgol Industries based on analysis of Avgol Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Avgol Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Avgol Industries's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Avgol Industries
The number of cover stories for Avgol Industries depends on current market conditions and Avgol Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Avgol Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Avgol Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Avgol Industries Short Properties
Avgol Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Avgol Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Avgol Industries 1953 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Avgol Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avgol Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 304.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Avgol Stock analysis
When running Avgol Industries' price analysis, check to measure Avgol Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avgol Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Avgol Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avgol Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avgol Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avgol Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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