Axogen Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.31
| AXGN Stock | USD 13.90 0.17 1.21% |
Axogen |
Axogen Target Price Odds to finish below 9.31
The tendency of Axogen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.31 or more in 90 days |
| 13.90 | 90 days | 9.31 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Axogen to drop to $ 9.31 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Axogen Inc probability density function shows the probability of Axogen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Axogen Inc price to stay between $ 9.31 and its current price of $13.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.08 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This suggests Axogen Inc market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Axogen is expected to follow. Additionally Axogen Inc has an alpha of 0.0694, implying that it can generate a 0.0694 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Axogen Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Axogen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axogen Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Axogen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Axogen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Axogen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Axogen Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Axogen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Axogen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Axogen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Axogen Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Axogen Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 159.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 114.44 M. | |
| Axogen Inc currently holds about 58.03 M in cash with (5.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.37. | |
| Axogen Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from stockhead.com.au: Renerve all set to become only the second nerve-repair stock on the ASX |
Axogen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Axogen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Axogen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axogen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31 M |
Axogen Technical Analysis
Axogen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Axogen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Axogen Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Axogen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Axogen Predictive Forecast Models
Axogen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Axogen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Axogen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Axogen Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Axogen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Axogen Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Axogen Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 159.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 114.44 M. | |
| Axogen Inc currently holds about 58.03 M in cash with (5.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.37. | |
| Axogen Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from stockhead.com.au: Renerve all set to become only the second nerve-repair stock on the ASX |
Check out Axogen Backtesting, Axogen Valuation, Axogen Correlation, Axogen Hype Analysis, Axogen Volatility, Axogen History as well as Axogen Performance. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axogen. If investors know Axogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axogen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.33) | Revenue Per Share 4.16 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.179 | Return On Assets (0.03) | Return On Equity (0.15) |
The market value of Axogen Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axogen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axogen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axogen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axogen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axogen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axogen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axogen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axogen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.