Australian Unity (Australia) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 82.58
| AYUPA Preferred Stock | 82.55 0.15 0.18% |
Australian |
Australian Unity Target Price Odds to finish over 82.58
The tendency of Australian Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 82.58 or more in 90 days |
| 82.55 | 90 days | 82.58 | about 35.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australian Unity to move over 82.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 35.86 (This Australian Unity Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Australian Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Australian Unity price to stay between its current price of 82.55 and 82.58 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Australian Unity has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Australian Unity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Australian Unity Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Australian Unity Ltd has an alpha of 0.0513, implying that it can generate a 0.0513 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Australian Unity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Australian Unity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Unity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Australian Unity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australian Unity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australian Unity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australian Unity Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australian Unity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Australian Unity Technical Analysis
Australian Unity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australian Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australian Unity Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australian Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Australian Unity Predictive Forecast Models
Australian Unity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australian Unity's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australian Unity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Australian Unity in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Australian Unity's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Australian Unity options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Australian Preferred Stock
Australian Unity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Australian Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Australian with respect to the benefits of owning Australian Unity security.