Bangkok Aviation (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.01
| BAFS Stock | THB 12.80 0.50 3.76% |
Bangkok |
Bangkok Aviation Target Price Odds to finish below 13.01
The tendency of Bangkok Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 13.01 after 90 days |
| 12.80 | 90 days | 13.01 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bangkok Aviation to stay under 13.01 after 90 days from now is under 4 (This Bangkok Aviation Fuel probability density function shows the probability of Bangkok Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bangkok Aviation Fuel price to stay between its current price of 12.80 and 13.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bangkok Aviation Fuel has a beta of -0.19 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bangkok Aviation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bangkok Aviation Fuel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bangkok Aviation Fuel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bangkok Aviation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bangkok Aviation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bangkok Aviation Fuel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bangkok Aviation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bangkok Aviation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bangkok Aviation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bangkok Aviation Fuel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bangkok Aviation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Bangkok Aviation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bangkok Aviation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bangkok Aviation Fuel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bangkok Aviation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bangkok Aviation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (784.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33.28 M. | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bangkok Aviation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bangkok Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bangkok Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bangkok Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 637.5 M |
Bangkok Aviation Technical Analysis
Bangkok Aviation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bangkok Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bangkok Aviation Fuel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bangkok Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bangkok Aviation Predictive Forecast Models
Bangkok Aviation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bangkok Aviation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bangkok Aviation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bangkok Aviation Fuel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bangkok Aviation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bangkok Aviation Fuel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bangkok Aviation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bangkok Aviation has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (784.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33.28 M. | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bangkok Stock
Bangkok Aviation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bangkok Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bangkok with respect to the benefits of owning Bangkok Aviation security.