Bangkok Aviation Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BAFS Stock | THB 9.95 0.25 2.45% |
Bangkok Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Bangkok Aviation's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bangkok Aviation, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bangkok Aviation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bangkok Aviation Fuel from the perspective of Bangkok Aviation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Bangkok Aviation Fuel on the next trading day is expected to be 9.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.80. Bangkok Aviation after-hype prediction price | THB 9.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bangkok |
Bangkok Aviation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bangkok price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bangkok using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bangkok charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bangkok Aviation Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Bangkok Aviation Fuel on the next trading day is expected to be 9.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bangkok Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bangkok Aviation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bangkok Aviation Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bangkok Aviation | Bangkok Aviation Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bangkok Aviation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bangkok Aviation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bangkok Aviation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.91 and 10.56, respectively. We have considered Bangkok Aviation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bangkok Aviation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bangkok Aviation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.57 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2387 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0266 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.8 |
Predictive Modules for Bangkok Aviation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bangkok Aviation Fuel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bangkok Aviation After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bangkok Aviation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bangkok Aviation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bangkok Aviation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bangkok Aviation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bangkok Aviation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bangkok Aviation's historical news coverage. Bangkok Aviation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.63 and 11.27, respectively. We have considered Bangkok Aviation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bangkok Aviation is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bangkok Aviation Fuel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bangkok Aviation Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bangkok Aviation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bangkok Aviation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bangkok Aviation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.95 | 9.95 | 0.00 |
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Bangkok Aviation Hype Timeline
Bangkok Aviation Fuel is currently traded for 9.95on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bangkok is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bangkok Aviation is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.95. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Bangkok Aviation was currently reported as 7.16. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.05. Bangkok Aviation Fuel last dividend was issued on the 8th of May 2020. The entity had 5:4 split on the 27th of April 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bangkok Aviation to cross-verify your projections.Bangkok Aviation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bangkok Aviation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bangkok Aviation's future price movements. Getting to know how Bangkok Aviation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bangkok Aviation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPVI | S P V | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | 0.08 | 3.67 | (3.03) | 9.93 | |
| SVOA | SVOA Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.01 | 2.26 | (2.26) | 6.02 | |
| VCOM | Vintcom Technology PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1.97 | (0.71) | 8.93 | |
| AJA | AJ Advance Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.00 | 0.04 | 12.50 | (8.70) | 26.67 | |
| SPREME | SUPREME DISTRIBUTION PUBLIC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.10 | 2.88 | (2.11) | 9.54 | |
| BVG | Blueventure Group PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.53 | (3.41) | 7.63 | |
| CPW | Copperwired Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | 0.03 | 3.00 | (1.94) | 9.86 | |
| ALT | ALT Telecom Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.11 | 5.21 | (2.68) | 14.49 | |
| IT | IT City Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.05 | 2.04 | (1.73) | 10.40 | |
| SIMAT | Simat Technologies Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.54 | 0.08 | 7.00 | (6.58) | 23.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bangkok Aviation
For every potential investor in Bangkok, whether a beginner or expert, Bangkok Aviation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bangkok Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bangkok. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bangkok Aviation's price trends.Bangkok Aviation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bangkok Aviation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bangkok Aviation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bangkok Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bangkok Aviation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bangkok Aviation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bangkok Aviation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bangkok Aviation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bangkok Aviation Fuel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17379.15 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.71) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.02 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.20) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.25) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.96 |
Bangkok Aviation Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bangkok Aviation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bangkok Aviation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bangkok stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9808 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8911 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7941 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bangkok Aviation
The number of cover stories for Bangkok Aviation depends on current market conditions and Bangkok Aviation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bangkok Aviation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bangkok Aviation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Bangkok Stock
Bangkok Aviation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bangkok Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bangkok with respect to the benefits of owning Bangkok Aviation security.