Bowler Metcalf (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1116.78
| BCF Stock | 1,300 59.00 4.34% |
Bowler |
Bowler Metcalf Target Price Odds to finish over 1116.78
The tendency of Bowler Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1,117 in 90 days |
| 1,300 | 90 days | 1,117 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bowler Metcalf to stay above 1,117 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bowler Metcalf probability density function shows the probability of Bowler Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bowler Metcalf price to stay between 1,117 and its current price of 1300.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bowler Metcalf has a beta of 0.54 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bowler Metcalf average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bowler Metcalf will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bowler Metcalf has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bowler Metcalf Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bowler Metcalf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bowler Metcalf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bowler Metcalf Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bowler Metcalf is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bowler Metcalf's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bowler Metcalf, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bowler Metcalf within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0087 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 62.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Bowler Metcalf Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bowler Metcalf for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bowler Metcalf can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bowler Metcalf generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bowler Metcalf has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bowler Metcalf generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bowler Metcalf Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bowler Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bowler Metcalf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bowler Metcalf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 180.9 M |
Bowler Metcalf Technical Analysis
Bowler Metcalf's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bowler Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bowler Metcalf. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bowler Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bowler Metcalf Predictive Forecast Models
Bowler Metcalf's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bowler Metcalf's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bowler Metcalf's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bowler Metcalf
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bowler Metcalf for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bowler Metcalf help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bowler Metcalf generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bowler Metcalf has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bowler Metcalf generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bowler Stock
Bowler Metcalf financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bowler Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bowler with respect to the benefits of owning Bowler Metcalf security.