Flanigans Enterprises Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.01
| BDL Stock | USD 24.84 0.34 1.39% |
Flanigans |
Flanigans Enterprises Target Price Odds to finish below 23.01
The tendency of Flanigans Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 23.01 or more in 90 days |
| 24.84 | 90 days | 23.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flanigans Enterprises to drop to $ 23.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Flanigans Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Flanigans Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flanigans Enterprises price to stay between $ 23.01 and its current price of $24.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.87 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Flanigans Enterprises has a beta of 0.0767 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Flanigans Enterprises average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flanigans Enterprises will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flanigans Enterprises has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Flanigans Enterprises Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Flanigans Enterprises
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flanigans Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flanigans Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flanigans Enterprises Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flanigans Enterprises is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flanigans Enterprises' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flanigans Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flanigans Enterprises within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Flanigans Enterprises Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flanigans Enterprises for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flanigans Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Flanigans Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Flanigans Enterprises Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flanigans Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flanigans Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flanigans Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.5 M |
Flanigans Enterprises Technical Analysis
Flanigans Enterprises' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flanigans Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flanigans Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flanigans Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flanigans Enterprises Predictive Forecast Models
Flanigans Enterprises' time-series forecasting models is one of many Flanigans Enterprises' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flanigans Enterprises' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flanigans Enterprises
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flanigans Enterprises for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flanigans Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Flanigans Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Flanigans Enterprises Backtesting, Flanigans Enterprises Valuation, Flanigans Enterprises Correlation, Flanigans Enterprises Hype Analysis, Flanigans Enterprises Volatility, Flanigans Enterprises History as well as Flanigans Enterprises Performance. For more information on how to buy Flanigans Stock please use our How to buy in Flanigans Stock guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flanigans Enterprises. If investors know Flanigans will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flanigans Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | Earnings Share 1.64 | Revenue Per Share 73.7 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 | Return On Assets 0.045 |
The market value of Flanigans Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flanigans that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flanigans Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flanigans Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flanigans Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flanigans Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flanigans Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flanigans Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flanigans Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.