Flanigans Enterprises Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| BDL Stock | USD 33.50 2.30 7.37% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Flanigans Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 30.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.57. Flanigans Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Flanigans Enterprises' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Flanigans Enterprises' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Flanigans Enterprises fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Flanigans Enterprises' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.242 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 |
Using Flanigans Enterprises hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flanigans Enterprises from the perspective of Flanigans Enterprises response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Flanigans Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 30.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.57. Flanigans Enterprises after-hype prediction price | USD 33.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Flanigans Enterprises Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flanigans price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flanigans using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flanigans charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Flanigans Enterprises Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Flanigans Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 30.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01, mean absolute percentage error of 1.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flanigans Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flanigans Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Flanigans Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern
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Flanigans Enterprises Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Flanigans Enterprises' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flanigans Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.90 and 34.24, respectively. We have considered Flanigans Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flanigans Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flanigans Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6332 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0094 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0329 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 61.5724 |
Predictive Modules for Flanigans Enterprises
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flanigans Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flanigans Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flanigans Enterprises After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flanigans Enterprises at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flanigans Enterprises or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flanigans Enterprises, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flanigans Enterprises Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flanigans Enterprises' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flanigans Enterprises' historical news coverage. Flanigans Enterprises' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.84 and 37.18, respectively. We have considered Flanigans Enterprises' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flanigans Enterprises is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flanigans Enterprises is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flanigans Enterprises Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flanigans Enterprises is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flanigans Enterprises backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flanigans Enterprises, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 3.67 | 0.01 | 0.53 | 5 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.50 | 33.51 | 0.03 |
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Flanigans Enterprises Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Flanigans Enterprises is traded for 33.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.53. Flanigans is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 33.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Flanigans Enterprises is about 117.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.97. The company reported the last year's revenue of 205.25 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.03 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 28.66 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flanigans Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.Flanigans Enterprises Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flanigans Enterprises' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flanigans Enterprises' future price movements. Getting to know how Flanigans Enterprises' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flanigans Enterprises may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HCHL | Happy City Holdings | 0.03 | 7 per month | 3.48 | 0.13 | 5.15 | (5.96) | 19.32 | |
| STKS | One Group Hospitality | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.75 | (5.69) | 28.79 | |
| RAVE | Rave Restaurant Group | 0.25 | 8 per month | 3.17 | 0.05 | 5.45 | (4.43) | 23.89 | |
| CVGI | Commercial Vehicle Group | 0.01 | 8 per month | 3.10 | 0 | 8.82 | (5.23) | 20.18 | |
| CNTY | Century Casinos | 0.12 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.99 | (6.54) | 20.05 | |
| GGR | Gogoro Inc | (0.09) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 6.78 | (7.21) | 23.10 | |
| OCG | Oriental Culture Holding | (31.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 18.04 | (42.07) | 381.51 | |
| NCL | Northann Corp | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 11.76 | (13.33) | 81.07 | |
| CHSN | Chanson International Holding | 0.15 | 34 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.68 | (6.48) | 30.45 | |
| RRGB | Red Robin Gourmet | (0.33) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 4.75 | (5.15) | 11.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Flanigans Enterprises
For every potential investor in Flanigans, whether a beginner or expert, Flanigans Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flanigans Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flanigans. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flanigans Enterprises' price trends.Flanigans Enterprises Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flanigans Enterprises stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flanigans Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flanigans Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Flanigans Enterprises Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flanigans Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flanigans Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flanigans Enterprises stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Flanigans Enterprises entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Flanigans Enterprises Risk Indicators
The analysis of Flanigans Enterprises' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flanigans Enterprises' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flanigans stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.6 | |||
| Variance | 12.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Flanigans Enterprises
The number of cover stories for Flanigans Enterprises depends on current market conditions and Flanigans Enterprises' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flanigans Enterprises is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flanigans Enterprises' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Flanigans Enterprises Short Properties
Flanigans Enterprises' future price predictability will typically decrease when Flanigans Enterprises' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flanigans Enterprises often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flanigans Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flanigans Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flanigans Enterprises to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Flanigans Stock please use our How to buy in Flanigans Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flanigans Enterprises. If investors know Flanigans will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flanigans Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.242 | Earnings Share 2.33 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Flanigans Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flanigans that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flanigans Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flanigans Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flanigans Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flanigans Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flanigans Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flanigans Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flanigans Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.