Be Semiconductor Industries Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 112.80

BESIY Stock  USD 112.80  0.60  0.53%   
BE Semiconductor's future price is the expected price of BE Semiconductor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BE Semiconductor Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BE Semiconductor Backtesting, BE Semiconductor Valuation, BE Semiconductor Correlation, BE Semiconductor Hype Analysis, BE Semiconductor Volatility, BE Semiconductor History as well as BE Semiconductor Performance.
  
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BE Semiconductor Target Price Odds to finish over 112.80

The tendency of BESIY Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 112.80 90 days 112.80 
about 84.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BE Semiconductor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.23 (This BE Semiconductor Industries probability density function shows the probability of BESIY Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BE Semiconductor Industries has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BE Semiconductor are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BE Semiconductor Industries is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BE Semiconductor Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BE Semiconductor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BE Semiconductor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BE Semiconductor Ind. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.88112.80115.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.5798.49124.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
104.73107.65110.57
Details

BE Semiconductor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BE Semiconductor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BE Semiconductor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BE Semiconductor Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BE Semiconductor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
7.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

BE Semiconductor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BE Semiconductor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BE Semiconductor Ind can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BE Semiconductor Ind generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BE Semiconductor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BESIY Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BE Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BE Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78 M

BE Semiconductor Technical Analysis

BE Semiconductor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BESIY Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BE Semiconductor Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing BESIY Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BE Semiconductor Predictive Forecast Models

BE Semiconductor's time-series forecasting models is one of many BE Semiconductor's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BE Semiconductor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BE Semiconductor Ind

Checking the ongoing alerts about BE Semiconductor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BE Semiconductor Ind help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BE Semiconductor Ind generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for BESIY Pink Sheet Analysis

When running BE Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure BE Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BE Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of BE Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BE Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BE Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BE Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.