Blackrock Municipal Income Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.15

BFK Stock  USD 10.14  0.01  0.1%   
BlackRock Municipal's future price is the expected price of BlackRock Municipal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BlackRock Municipal Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BlackRock Municipal Backtesting, BlackRock Municipal Valuation, BlackRock Municipal Correlation, BlackRock Municipal Hype Analysis, BlackRock Municipal Volatility, BlackRock Municipal History as well as BlackRock Municipal Performance.
  
At this time, BlackRock Municipal's Price Book Value Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to rise to 0.86 this year, although the value of Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio will most likely fall to 4.20. Please specify BlackRock Municipal's target price for which you would like BlackRock Municipal odds to be computed.

BlackRock Municipal Target Price Odds to finish over 10.15

The tendency of BlackRock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.15  or more in 90 days
 10.14 90 days 10.15 
about 90.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BlackRock Municipal to move over $ 10.15  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.53 (This BlackRock Municipal Income probability density function shows the probability of BlackRock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BlackRock Municipal price to stay between its current price of $ 10.14  and $ 10.15  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.01 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon BlackRock Municipal has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BlackRock Municipal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BlackRock Municipal Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BlackRock Municipal Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BlackRock Municipal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BlackRock Municipal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BlackRock Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6210.1410.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7210.2410.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6810.2010.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9910.1710.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BlackRock Municipal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BlackRock Municipal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BlackRock Municipal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BlackRock Municipal.

BlackRock Municipal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BlackRock Municipal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BlackRock Municipal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BlackRock Municipal Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BlackRock Municipal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

BlackRock Municipal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BlackRock Municipal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BlackRock Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BlackRock Municipal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BlackRock Municipal has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
BlackRock Municipal Income has 286.68 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.68, which is OK given its current industry classification. BlackRock Municipal has a current ratio of 0.17, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for BlackRock to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 11.47 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (5.26 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 35.51 M.
On 1st of November 2024 BlackRock Municipal paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: BlackRock Municipal Income Trust declares 0.05 dividend

BlackRock Municipal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BlackRock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BlackRock Municipal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BlackRock Municipal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.9 M
Dividends Paid21.3 M

BlackRock Municipal Technical Analysis

BlackRock Municipal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BlackRock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BlackRock Municipal Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing BlackRock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BlackRock Municipal Predictive Forecast Models

BlackRock Municipal's time-series forecasting models is one of many BlackRock Municipal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BlackRock Municipal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BlackRock Municipal

Checking the ongoing alerts about BlackRock Municipal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BlackRock Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BlackRock Municipal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BlackRock Municipal has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
BlackRock Municipal Income has 286.68 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.68, which is OK given its current industry classification. BlackRock Municipal has a current ratio of 0.17, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for BlackRock to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 11.47 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (5.26 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 35.51 M.
On 1st of November 2024 BlackRock Municipal paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: BlackRock Municipal Income Trust declares 0.05 dividend
When determining whether BlackRock Municipal is a strong investment it is important to analyze BlackRock Municipal's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact BlackRock Municipal's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding BlackRock Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock Municipal. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock Municipal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
6.575
Dividend Share
0.411
Earnings Share
0.29
Revenue Per Share
0.813
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.007
The market value of BlackRock Municipal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock Municipal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock Municipal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock Municipal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock Municipal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock Municipal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock Municipal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock Municipal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.