Blackbaud Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.95
| BLKB Stock | USD 46.27 2.86 5.82% |
Closest to current price Blackbaud long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
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Blackbaud Target Price Odds to finish over 45.95
The tendency of Blackbaud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 45.95 in 90 days |
| 46.27 | 90 days | 45.95 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackbaud to stay above $ 45.95 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Blackbaud probability density function shows the probability of Blackbaud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Probability of Blackbaud price to stay between $ 45.95 and its current price of $46.27 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 . Blackbaud Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Blackbaud
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackbaud. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Blackbaud Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackbaud is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackbaud's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackbaud, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackbaud within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Blackbaud Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackbaud for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackbaud can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Blackbaud generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Blackbaud currently holds 1.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Blackbaud has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Blackbaud's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 100.0% of Blackbaud shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CLEAR Secure Receives Outperform Rating from Telsey Advisory Group |
Blackbaud Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackbaud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackbaud's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackbaud's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 759 M |
Blackbaud Technical Analysis
Blackbaud's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackbaud Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackbaud. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackbaud Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Blackbaud Predictive Forecast Models
Blackbaud's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackbaud's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackbaud's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Blackbaud
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackbaud for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackbaud help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Blackbaud generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Blackbaud currently holds 1.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Blackbaud has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Blackbaud's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 100.0% of Blackbaud shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: CLEAR Secure Receives Outperform Rating from Telsey Advisory Group |
Check out Blackbaud Analysis, Blackbaud Valuation, Blackbaud Correlation, Blackbaud Hype Analysis, Blackbaud Volatility, Blackbaud Price History as well as Blackbaud Performance. For information on how to trade Blackbaud Stock refer to our How to Trade Blackbaud Stock guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackbaud. Projected growth potential of Blackbaud fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Blackbaud assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.8 | Earnings Share 2.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Blackbaud using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Blackbaud's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Blackbaud's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Blackbaud's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Blackbaud should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Blackbaud's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.