Boqii Holding Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.44
| BQ Stock | USD 0.40 0.04 9.09% |
Boqii |
Boqii Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 0.44
The tendency of Boqii Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.44 after 90 days |
| 0.40 | 90 days | 0.44 | about 49.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boqii Holding to stay under $ 0.44 after 90 days from now is about 49.9 (This Boqii Holding Limited probability density function shows the probability of Boqii Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boqii Holding Limited price to stay between its current price of $ 0.40 and $ 0.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.42 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Boqii Holding Limited has a beta of -0.23 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Boqii Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Boqii Holding Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Boqii Holding Limited has an alpha of 0.8623, implying that it can generate a 0.86 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Boqii Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Boqii Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boqii Holding Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Boqii Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boqii Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boqii Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boqii Holding Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boqii Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Boqii Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boqii Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boqii Holding Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Boqii Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Boqii Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Boqii Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Boqii Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 709.35 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (63.66 M) with gross profit of 242.73 M. | |
| Boqii Holding Limited reports about 162.85 M in cash with (25.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Boqii Pet Stock Drops Amid Market Volatility |
Boqii Holding Technical Analysis
Boqii Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boqii Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boqii Holding Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boqii Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Boqii Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Boqii Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boqii Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boqii Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Boqii Holding Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Boqii Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boqii Holding Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Boqii Holding is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Boqii Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Boqii Holding appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Boqii Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 709.35 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (63.66 M) with gross profit of 242.73 M. | |
| Boqii Holding Limited reports about 162.85 M in cash with (25.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Boqii Pet Stock Drops Amid Market Volatility |
Additional Tools for Boqii Stock Analysis
When running Boqii Holding's price analysis, check to measure Boqii Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boqii Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Boqii Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boqii Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boqii Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boqii Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.